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Occupation Forecast Pages

14 forecasters

When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible?

0

Respiratory Outlook June Update

Animal Futures Tournament

$3,400 prize pool

Closes in 2 years86 forecasters

Next spot scoring date for the U.S. Democracy Threat Index: July 15

96 forecasters

Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before Sept 2026?

50%chance

22% today

Key Factors

theitem.com:
What to know about the demining and escort mission that US allies want for the Strait of Hormuz - The Sumter Item
cbsnews.com:
Trump says the Strait of Hormuz is "safe, secure and pristine." Shipping companies aren't convinced.
Opening for demining delays normal traffic

8 forecasters

Before September 1, 2026, will Erdoğan be permitted to run for another term?

4.5%chance

7 forecasters

On July 8, 2026, will Marine Le Pen be ineligible to run in 2027?

55%chance

89 forecasters

"Dai Dai" vs "Waka Waka" on Hot 100?

1%chance

15% this week

Key Factors

Recent World Cup songs failed to chart
Dai Dai's low initial chart position
Major performances at World Cup events

94 forecasters

SpaceX last closing price at end of August 2026?

Current estimate

168 $

61 forecasters

Major Atlantic Hurricanes before Sept 26?

039.9%

139.4%

214.3%

35.3%

4Upcoming

1 other

Key Factors

1 average count By 2026
Pre-September major hurricanes mean and mode over 2016-2025
El Niño suppresses activity (especially early season)
tropical.colostate.edu:
CSU Hurricane Seasonal Forecasting

61 forecasters

NYSEARCA: ILS two-day loss >=$0.25 before Sep 2026?

16%chance

71 forecasters

Will the US and India finalise a trade agreement before Aug 2026?

35%chance

9% today

Key Factors

China's leverage in supply chains

11 forecasters

Will Copernicus report July 2026 as the warmest July on record?

55%chance

Summer 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament

3 questions recently resolved

Closes in 5 months213 forecasters

Forecasting the Future of Animals: $3,400 in prizes

6 forecasters

Will Ukraine announce a presidential election before September 1, 2026?

3%chance

6 forecasters

Will the Liberal Party nominate Flávio Bolsonaro before August 15, 2026?

80%chance

8 forecasters

OpenAI bankruptcy risk before 2028?

1%chance

36 forecasters

Wild animal infected with New World screwworm in the US before 2027?

66.7%chance

5.1% this week

2026 US Midterms Tracker

19 forecasters

# of top labs with animal welfare in AI guidelines in 2034?

116.9%

220.9%

323%

415.4%

4 others

136 forecasters

US attacks Cuba before 2027?

35%chance

5% this week

Key Factors

Cuba lacks valuable assets to seize
American public opposes wider conflict
Russian intervention in blockade possible

4 forecasters

Which party’s candidate will win the 2026 Saalekreis Landrat election?

Alternative for Germany (AfD)50%

Christian Democratic Union (CDU)50%

823 forecasters

Will Starmer leave office in 2026?

95%chance

15% this week

Key Factors

news.sky.com:
Politics latest: Scottish Labour leader calls for Keir Starmer to resign - as cabinet back the PM

67 forecasters

GOP House advantage after 2026 midterms?

Current estimate

-5.7 seats